n> > It lost me at "Can Life be Merely an Accident?"
n>
n>This video is a pretty decent rebuttal to the "Life can't happen by accident"
n>argument:
n>
n>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TIiz9ndYLT8
n>
Thanks for posting that. The video has many valid points. He is correct that you
only need 1 winning ticket in multiple tries. However in my opinion he deaprts
from meaningful dialog on the origins of life subject when he injects all the
lotteries from the whole universe.
If I roll the dice 20 times and never get a 6, I still only have a 1 in 6 chance
of rolling a 6 on the 21st roll. We're not talking about all the galaxies (dice
rollers), we're talking about this planet. 1 or 1 trillion rolls of the dice in
another galaxy has *zero* infulence here and therefore CANNOT help our lottery
here.
He then goes on to make the case about arguing from ignorance - from
improbabilities and so forth but he is content to leave it at that based on
these supposed sheer numbers or lotteries that have no efffect on us.
He doesn't even know or address what these improbablities are let alone take the
time to address them. He just assumes he is right based on faulty statistical
reasonaing without doing any real work and leaves it at that. PURE AND SIMPLE.
His reasoning is flat out faulty. If you want to believe him then do so but
please at least do some math on it based on THIS planet in THIS solar system in
THIS galaxy 'cause nothing else matters to US and life HERE.
I gotta say I'm not really impressed.
Anyone up for some math? Anyone up for doing a little work on our own to give
this a fair shot and let the chips fall where they may? Let's put some IDr's to
the test and find out if thier numbers have any chance and let the chips fall
where they may.
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